Considering Serie A history
Okay, I’m recalling the last 31 seasons of Serie A and thinking about teams that started with 12 matches without a victory yet managed to stay up. I think of Cagliari, maybe in 2006-07 or 2014-15. I want to respond carefully since I can't verify this online. Should I ask if they need verification or additional context, like past examples or relegation probabilities? If they’re looking for a news headline, I might need to clarify that too!Analyzing survival probabilities
I’m thinking about the implications of starting a season with 12 winless games in terms of survival probabilities. Typically, that means finding oneself in the bottom three with about 8-10 points, while survival usually requires around 38-42 points in total. To achieve that, teams need over 1.5 points per game afterwards. I recall Cagliari from 2006-07, who survived despite a poor start, and Reggina, who had a penalty but managed to stay up as well.Clarifying the user's request

I want to be careful about making precise claims. So, I’ll suggest doing three things: 1) check and list Serie A teams that went 12 games without a win since 1994-95 and their final standings; 2) simulate survival probabilities for Fiorentina based on their current points and schedule; and 3) write a news or social media post.

I need to confirm with the user which option they prefer. It looks like Fiorentina isn’t historically known for long winless streaks; I wonder if they meant a different team. I should clarify what season they’re referencing!

你是想让我核实这条说法,还是需要把它改写成新闻配文/标题?要不要顺带列出意甲近30+年“开局12轮不胜”的全部先例和最终去向,并用当前积分粗算保级所需节奏?
可选:
另外确认一下:这里的“紫百合”指佛罗伦萨,具体是哪个赛季?我据此给出精确对照数据。