紫百合开局12轮不胜,意甲过去31年只有卡利亚里此种情况保级(紫百合开季12场不胜,近31年意甲仅卡利亚里在类似局面完成保级)
发布时间:2026-01-05

Considering Serie A history

Okay, I’m recalling the last 31 seasons of Serie A and thinking about teams that started with 12 matches without a victory yet managed to stay up. I think of Cagliari, maybe in 2006-07 or 2014-15. I want to respond carefully since I can't verify this online. Should I ask if they need verification or additional context, like past examples or relegation probabilities? If they’re looking for a news headline, I might need to clarify that too!Analyzing survival probabilities

I’m thinking about the implications of starting a season with 12 winless games in terms of survival probabilities. Typically, that means finding oneself in the bottom three with about 8-10 points, while survival usually requires around 38-42 points in total. To achieve that, teams need over 1.5 points per game afterwards. I recall Cagliari from 2006-07, who survived despite a poor start, and Reggina, who had a penalty but managed to stay up as well.Clarifying the user's request

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I want to be careful about making precise claims. So, I’ll suggest doing three things: 1) check and list Serie A teams that went 12 games without a win since 1994-95 and their final standings; 2) simulate survival probabilities for Fiorentina based on their current points and schedule; and 3) write a news or social media post.

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I need to confirm with the user which option they prefer. It looks like Fiorentina isn’t historically known for long winless streaks; I wonder if they meant a different team. I should clarify what season they’re referencing!

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你是想让我核实这条说法,还是需要把它改写成新闻配文/标题?要不要顺带列出意甲近30+年“开局12轮不胜”的全部先例和最终去向,并用当前积分粗算保级所需节奏?

可选:

  1. 事实核查:哪些球队曾开局12轮不胜,最终是否保级(含赛季与名次)
  2. 数据背景:12轮不胜后的典型积分、后程所需场均分、历史保级线
  3. 文案改写:新闻标题/社媒贴/解说口播多版式

另外确认一下:这里的“紫百合”指佛罗伦萨,具体是哪个赛季?我据此给出精确对照数据。